asgp wrote:I believe there is no chance for a 'golpe de estado'... not even by mistake. Why? Ollanta Humala regime has no enough strength, popularity levels of the presidential couple is in free fall and everybody in this regime is looking forward to end this presidential period standing still. Not to mention that big corporations take part in the political subject too, they won't agree in such risky plan to support Hulama for another four more years or even more.
While I hope you are right and while am aware of Humala´s low popularity level and I agree that his political strenght is low as well, one has to bear in mind that such characteristics as well as possible protests by civilians do not represent and have never represented a bar to a golpe de estado.
To the contrary:
a golpe de estado may personally serve Humala & Nadine.
Both (as well as their ex minister of the interior) are already in the cross hairs of the judiciary system.
According to the Peruvian press, 80% of the Peruvians belief that Ollanta & Nadine are involved in money laundering.
A prosecutor who was investigating Nadine was surprisingly discharged.
O&N are not powerless!
What will Ollanta & Nadine do to judicially protect themselves when the presidental immunity expires???
Or even if Martin Belaunde Lossio reveals a compromising video???
They have a lot to loose and a lot to win.
The main question I cannot answer is if the army
would support him.
Humala has made himself many enemies in the army but he also occupied many key positions by his amigos.